The method records assumptions, disconfirming evidence and risk boundaries before market outcomes are revealed, helping learners evaluate decision quality separately from short-term gains or losses
MEXICO, August 21, 2026 — Investment strategy researcher and financial education advocate Miguel Tepoztlán today announced the launch of a 30-day educational initiative called the “No-Price Decision Audit” (Auditoría de Decisiones sin Precio). Using historical cases, fictional scenarios and simulated materials, the initiative is designed to help adult learners document and review how an investment judgment is formed without being influenced by the final price outcome.
Unlike conventional market reviews that begin with price movements or investment performance, the No-Price Decision Audit requires participants to record their objectives, known facts, key information sources, central assumptions, disconfirming evidence and risk boundaries before the outcome of a case is disclosed. Once the result is revealed, participants evaluate the quality of the decision-making process separately from whether the market outcome was favorable.
The initiative addresses a common question in financial education: Does a profitable result necessarily mean that a decision was sound, and does a loss automatically mean that the underlying analysis was flawed?
Market outcomes can be affected by timing, changing conditions and chance. When decisions are judged solely by gains or losses, learners may mistake a favorable outcome for skill while overlooking information gaps, unmanaged risks or untested assumptions in the original reasoning.
“Investment learning should not begin only after the result is known,” Tepoztlán said. “The more important questions are what we knew before making the decision, what we assumed and what we may have overlooked. If a judgment cannot explain what evidence would invalidate it, even a favorable outcome does not make the process repeatable.”
The No-Price Decision Audit consists of four connected components.
The first is the Decision Card, which records the objective, time horizon, known facts and key assumptions behind a judgment. The second is the Disconfirmation Box, which requires participants to identify in advance what new evidence could change or invalidate their original view.
The third component is the Risk Boundary, which examines concentration, liquidity, acceptable loss and exit limitations within an educational scenario. The fourth is the Outcome Split, through which participants separately evaluate the decision-making process and the eventual market result.
During the 30-day initiative, the project will examine whether participants verify information sources, distinguish facts from assumptions, actively search for opposing evidence and define risk boundaries and invalidation conditions before seeing the outcome.
Participants will not be asked to provide real account information, holdings, asset values or trading records. The project will not rank participants according to simulated returns. Any subsequent public material will contain only anonymized observations about the educational process and will not disclose personal identities or financial information.
According to Tepoztlán, the objective is not to create another market-prediction model. Instead, the project seeks to transform the decision-making process—often hidden behind the final result—into educational material that can be documented, discussed and improved.
“The goal is not to predict every market move correctly,” Tepoztlán said. “It is to remain disciplined when information is incomplete and to recognize when the evidence requires us to revise our position.”
The project plans to publish a methodology overview, educational disclaimer and Spanish-language Decision Card through Miguel Tepoztlán’s official website. An English-language summary will support international distribution and media outreach.
After the 30-day period, the project will publish either an anonymized “Decision Quality Map” or a series of case reviews, depending on the quantity and completeness of the records collected. The follow-up material will examine where learners are most likely to overlook disconfirming evidence, confuse facts with assumptions or allow final outcomes to distort their evaluation of an earlier judgment.
If the available records are insufficient to support a statistical summary, the project will publish only a methodology explanation and anonymized cases, without presenting the findings as representative research.
About Miguel Tepoztlán
Miguel Tepoztlán is an investment strategy researcher and financial education advocate whose areas of interest include macroeconomics, market trends, asset allocation, risk management and financial education methods. He promotes rational judgment, risk awareness and continuous review as essential foundations of investment learning. He also studies the appropriate use of artificial intelligence and simulation tools in financial education.
For more information, visit https://www.migueltepoztlan.com/.
Disclaimer
This press release and the No-Price Decision Audit are intended solely for educational and informational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security or digital asset. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
Media Contact
Miguel Tepoztlán
Email: info@migueltepoztlan.com
Website: https://www.migueltepoztlan.com/